This morning Scott Rasmussen released new Presidential Polls for the States of LA & MI. More to come later in the Day.
The Results are mixed although I considering MI the more important State.
New Rasmussen Reports Louisiana Survey/500 LV/July 9/MOE 4.5
John McCain (R) 54 %
Barack Obama (D) 34 %
Others 6 %
Undecided 6 %
with "Leaners"
McCain 56 %
Obama 37 %
Key Point:
Obama earns just 57 % Support from Democrats.
New Rasmussen Reports Michigan Survey/July 10/500 LV/MOE 4.5
Barack Obama (D) 47 %
John McCain (R) 39 %
Others 5 %
Undecided 8 %
with "Leaners"
Obama 50 %
McCain 42 %
Looks like the the HUGE Hillary Supporter who owned this Website got their wish. According to Wes Clark Hillary will take Fight to Convention if she doesn't get 100 % of FL & MI restored.
Man that MUST BE A BIG BOOST FOR JEROME ARMSTRONG AND JONATHAN SINGER. Congrats to you both because of you the Democrats are doomed and won't win the General Election. I'm HUGELY disappointed about this Partisan Gridlock we've on this Website. You two be proud of you helping Hillary Supporters to destroy an ENTIRE PARTY.
Now you can expel me from the Site if you want.
The most honorable Poster here although a big Hillary Supporter is Todd Beaton. Thank You Todd for all your objective Insights & Opinions. You're a TRUE Champion for me because you supported your Candidate and then when it was the right time making a CALL for Unity. Thanks again. I promise YOU I would have done the same if Hillary would be the Nominee.
Have a good 6 months and keep up the good work. I'll be watching.
Hawaii Democrats held their State Convention this weekend. They selected their new Chairman Brian Schatz & Vice-Chairwoman Kari Luna as well as their Add-On Delegate James Burns.
Finally we've the new Montana Poll out. I was eagerly awaiting this Poll
Billings Gazette/Mason-Dixon Poll/400 LV/MOE 5.0/May 19-21 (Oversample)
Montana Presidential Primary
Barack Obama 52 %
Hillary Clinton 35 %
Undecided 13 %
Also from the MT Mason-Dixon Poll
625 Registered Voters/MOE 4.0
General Election Match-Ups
John McCain (R) 47 %
Barack Obama (D) 39 %
Undecided 14 %
John McCain (R) 51 %
Hillary Clinton (D) 40 %
Undecided 9 %
Todd Beaton has an interesting Article about Puerto Rico describing a Baseline Poll which had Hillary up 50-37.
What I'm now predicting will drive every Clinton Supporter crazy.
I'm predicting Obama WILL win Clintons Popular Vote Metric.
Here is the Reason:
Per ABC News Obama is behind Clinton in the Popular Vote when you include Florida & Michigan by 180.000 Votes.
If Obama gets between 40-45 % in Puerto Rico and wins South Dakota & Montana blowout he'll win the Popular Vote on Hillary Clintons own metric. That will be cool
O-Fan
Although most of the Cable News Networks were focusing on the Condition of Mass. Senator Ted Kennedy including me nevertheless here is an Delegate Update what happened yesterday on Delegates:
Nevada:
The State Convention convened yesterday and Barack Obama came out victorious:
New NV National Convention Delegate Breakdown:
Barack Obama 14 Delegates
Hillary Clinton 11 Delegates
Nevada also selected its Add-On Super Rusty McAllister. He's Uncommitted.
Maryland:
Obama got the Endorsement of DNC Member Greg Pecoraro.
Kanasas:
During the State Convention the Dem. Party selected KS Lt. Governor Mark Parkinson as his Add-On Super. He endorsed Obama way back in February.
Last Colorado:
As widely expected the State Convention selected Federico Pena as the Add-On Super. He's a National Co-Chairman for Obama so he supports him.
Tomorrow California will select its 5 Add-On Supers. Clinton will get 3 and Obama will get 2.
Saturdays Pledged Delegate Tally
Obama 1 Clinton 0
Saturdays Superdelegate Tally
Obama 3 Clinton 0
Dear Fellow Democrat,
As we approach the final stretch of what has been the most exciting nomination process in recent history, one thing is for certain: Each of our stellar candidates will be ready to assume the presidency from the first day in office and promises to perform much better than what we've had in this country for the past eight years.
The failed policies of the Bush Administration will be behind us and either Sen. Hillary Clinton or Sen. Barack Obama will be in the White House if we make sure everyone is on board this fall as we muster all of our support and enthusiasm behind the Democratic nominee.
While we worked diligently for our respective candidates this past spring in Pennsylvania, we strongly agree that each of us will support the Democratic nominee and will campaign tirelessly across the Commonwealth for him or her. Make no mistake about it, we care deeply about Pennsylvania and the nation. We are mired in an unpopular war that is costing us $12 billion a month and affecting us dramatically at the gas pumps as Pennsylvanians continue to pay astronomical amounts per gallon. We are also staunchly against further tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans while our working families continue to struggle with health care costs or continue to exist without it. And we are ready to begin a new period of economic prosperity in Pennsylvania as Bush and his tired leadership begins to fade.
Unfortunately, a clone of Bush is ready to take his place in Sen. John McCain. We simply cannot afford a third Bush term in McCain. He offers no solutions for Iraq, except to commit to another 100 years, and he flip-flopped on Bush's tax cuts for the wealthiest. John McCain is not the straight talker that he projects himself to be. We won't be fooled by his Double Talk express that has rolled into many of our communities. Instead, we promise to work together to ensure that we don't elect "McSame" this fall.
In fact, we promise to work together to ensure we elect a Democrat.
Now, we need your help. As we move forward as a unified Democratic Party, let us agree that as Democrats we have a responsibility to our state and our nation to work tirelessly for our nominee. We have one million more Democrats than Republicans in Pennsylvania. Apparently, our friends and neighbors feel very strongly about the Democratic Party and have made their voices known by either switching from another party or registering for the first time. That alone should inspire us.
As the top elected officials in Pennsylvania, we promise to lead our troops this fall in a UNIFIED fashion that will bring home another resounding victory for the Keystone State, for our nominee and for our country.
Sincerely,
Governor Edward G. Rendell
Senator Robert P. Casey, Jr.
· Schumer: 60 Dem Senators Possible (Josh Orton)
· Jindal Out (Josh Orton)
· Scalise and Kennedy Shilling for Big Oil (DailyKingFish)
· IA: Grassley and Christian conservatives at odds (desmoinesdem)
· Richardson tells McCain to stop whining (fbihop)
· OR-SEN: New DSCC/IE ad in Oregon (karichisholm)
· NM Dems GET the netroots; GOP not so much (fbihop)
· Louisiana House 2Q Fundraising #'s (DailyKingFish)
· OR-SEN: Merkley's Netroots Nation video (karichisholm)
· AK-Sen: New Begich Ad (Matt Browner Hamlin)
· Not a Bad Cover for Obama in Colorado (Jonathan Singer)
· Chris Matthews: Open Up Your Hearts (Jonathan Singer)